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Repeal and replace is naive
Now he talks about the bankability of the ‘repeal and replace’ initiative from the Trump camp. If the market was uncertain before the ACA, it will remain so even if a replacement takes place. Hence, a few latecomers namely United Healthcare and undercapitalized minor entrants who opted out initially are definitely going to become a flood of firms leaving the exchanges. They seem to have no choice left because of the high risks and the actuary rates are still not obvious given the political turmoil and changing rules. Few in Congress are in favor of passing the repeal now and delaying the implementation by a couple of years. They think that will leave everything as it is now. However, this naive notion misses that very fact that the riskiness of the Obamacare individual insurance exchange markets will have been ramped up to such a level that continuing makes no sense. Even if a company reaches the break-even point during the time of the implementation, it will lose when the repeal is effective. If the subsidies now available to lower income bracket people and the mandatory health insurance rule vanish all of a sudden, individual policies on the exchanges will drop beyond imagination.When there are exorbitant risks, just exist
It’s easy to leave when everything goes gloomy. The health plan that the CEO was overseeing, though best-rated by JD Powers, was facing heavy losses when he took over. They withdrew from many counties with heavy losses as part of the change. Something similar is going to be the case in the ACA exchanges. It’s not difficult to predict that the induced uncertainty from Congress is going to kill the exchanges even if it takes time for the implementation of the repeal. Consequently, the beneficiaries from coverages and subsidies will lose out. Either, they won’t be able to avail coverage because of pre-existing conditions, or they won’t be able to afford the higher premiums. And once they leave the market, the political and economic price of the same will be havoc as long as patient access, provider uncompensated care costs, and jobs in the sector are concerned. It’s very hard to predict the losses clearly, but they would surely be in billions of dollars. Besides, millions could lose health coverage. What options do those have who hate Obamacare? All the solutions suggest to rely on private insurance, and to reduce the risk factors for them. However, we are exactly doing the opposite now. If we want them to continue the good works under Obamacare, we need to make things clear and certain. We need to reaffirm the mechanisms designed to reduce risk and a stable set of operating arrangements as core principles of all repeal efforts.Blog Category